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U.S. short-term interest rate futures fell after the Federal Reserve cut rates as traders bet on further rate cuts.
On Polymarket, as well as other prediction markets, traders are increasingly betting that the US government shutdown will last until the end of October or longer. According to the implied probability of trading prices on Polymarket, there is currently a 37% chance that the US government shutdown will last more than 30 days, up from 15% when the shutdown began on October 1. The longest government shutdown in US history occurred during Trump's first term, lasting 34 days from December 2018 to Janu...
Less than ten days before the Federal Reserve's September interest rate meeting, current market traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September with a high probability, and the probability of rate cuts in October will increase simultaneously. According to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in September is 0, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 90%. This probability is reported in Polymarket 87%. ...
Traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will wait until June to start cutting interest rates.
Traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will wait until June to start cutting interest rates.
Futures markets are betting the Fed won t cut rates at its policy meeting next week, but if fears of a trade war-induced recession come true, the Fed could initiate a series of rapid rate cuts in June. Last weekend, US President Donald Trump made a speech on the economy.
Traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates quickly in the event of an economic downturn. More and more people in the futures market are expecting consecutive rate cuts in June, July and October. Federal Reserve officials face the dilemma of rising inflation and a weakening economy. Click to view...
Gold pays attention to the four major supports, silver pays attention to this upside bet, and the US and Japan are concentrated in short orders here..... Click to view the latest report
Hammack said the Federal Reserve is not involved in bitcoin, but is concerned about the development of cryptocurrencies.
U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose as traders bet on the increased likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
